As of 2016-11-29 00:25:45.
DAVID L WILSON PERFORMANCE RATINGS
*=OAA White Division
#=OAA Blue Division
W L T
- - -
1 Athens-Troy 19 5 2 643
2 Stoney Creek 15 4 4 619
3 Rochester 15 4 5 616
4 Adams 12 5 4 613
5 *Avondale 14 2 4 591
6 Clarkston 9 8 3 579
7 Troy 9 6 6 565
8 Lake Orion 9 6 6 555
9 *Seaholm 9 7 5 553
10 Berkley 11 6 6 549
11 *N Farmington 8 5 7 526
12 #Groves 9 9 1 503
13 *Oxford 6 9 4 497
*Bloomfield Hills 4 11 4 497
15 *W Bloomfield 7 13 1 495
16 #Farmington 6 7 3 479
17 *Royal Oak 5 12 3 454
18 #Southfield A/T 13 5 0 447
19 *Harrison-FH 5 12 1 436
20 #Pontiac 6 15 0 409
21 #Hazel Park 5 13 1 351
22 #Oak Park 1 6 0 329
23 #Ferndale 3 16 0 320
--- teams from other divisions ---
W L T
- - -
East Kentwood 1 0 0 743
Lowell 1 0 0 743
Novi 1 0 0 713
Salem 1 0 0 713
Coldwater 1 0 0 691
Skyline 2 0 0 675
Fraser 1 0 0 665
Okemos 1 0 0 655
Lapeer 2 1 0 630
Divine Child 2 0 0 622
Pioneer 1 0 1 620
Charlevoix 0 0 1 619
Plymouth 0 0 1 613
Walled Lk Cent 3 1 0 598
Ford-SH 1 0 0 595
De LaSalle 3 2 0 590
Hamtramck 2 0 1 581
Pontiac ND Prep 5 3 1 581
TC West 1 2 0 580
Franklin 1 0 0 579
Stevenson-Livonia 1 0 0 579
Grand Blanc 1 2 2 574
Det Western 2 1 0 551
Freeland 0 0 1 549
Fenton 1 0 1 547
Lutheran N 1 0 0 547
Dakota 0 1 0 543
Sterling Heights 0 1 0 543
Sterling Hts-Stev 0 1 0 543
Utica 0 1 0 543
Walled Lk N'ern 0 1 0 543
Det Jesuit 0 2 1 542
Anchor Bay 0 1 1 542
South Lyon 1 0 0 536
Fordson 1 0 1 531
Cranbrook-Kingswd 1 1 0 526
Brother Rice 2 1 0 523
Brandon 0 2 2 520
Petoskey 0 1 0 519
Hartland 0 1 0 516
Bp Foley 2 0 0 506
Mott-Waterford 2 2 0 500
St Mary Prep 2 1 0 498
TC Central 1 2 0 495
Harper Creek 0 1 0 491
Mason 0 1 0 491
Yale 0 1 0 491
Det Cou Day 2 2 0 481
Det Cath Central 0 2 0 481
Walled Lk Western 0 1 1 480
Richmond 1 1 0 475
Milford 0 1 1 469
Grosse Pt South 0 1 0 465
Romeo 0 1 0 465
Imlay City 0 1 0 455
Woodhaven 0 1 0 455
Shrine 0 0 1 454
Cabrini 1 0 0 451
Jewish Acad Met D 1 0 0 451
Oscoda 1 0 0 451
Lamphere 2 0 0 450
Midland 0 1 0 449
Dearborn 0 2 1 432
Center Line 1 0 1 430
Grosse Pt North 1 0 0 429
Almont 0 1 1 425
Clawson 1 0 0 420
Edsel Ford 1 0 0 420
Frontier Intl 2 2 0 417
Kettering-Wat 0 3 0 409
Davison 1 2 0 404
Frankenmuth 0 1 0 403
Flushing 0 2 0 397
Lutheran NW 0 1 0 354
Ann Arbor Cent Ac 0 2 0 347
Cass Tech 0 2 0 347
Pontiac Excel 0 2 0 347
Garden City 0 2 0 341
Holly 0 2 0 317
Fitzgerald 0 2 0 259
Union-Redford 0 2 0 256
East Detroit 0 1 0 251
Thurston 0 1 0 220
University Prep 0 1 0 220
Upsets: 25 of 299 ( 8.36%) -- 308 total games.
Rating Adjustment: 31.70454
Report created 11/28/16 at 23:23:18 local time.
( OAA Boys Soccer: Fall 2016 )
BASED ON 148 GAMES BETWEEN 23 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
RANK TEAM DIVISION LOGIT PCT. RRE PF PA W L T
1 Avondale MHSAA-2 1.77 .799 .825 31 5 8 0 4
2 Adams MHSAA-1 1.76 .718 .824 27 6 10 3 1
3 Stoney Creek MHSAA-1 1.67 .653 .813 29 16 8 3 3
4 Athens-Troy MHSAA-1 1.50 .663 .793 19 7 8 3 2
5 Clarkston MHSAA-1 1.19 .536 .754 21 18 6 5 2
6 Rochester MHSAA-1 1.15 .616 .748 24 19 11 4 5
7 Troy MHSAA-1 0.82 .548 .704 23 14 5 4 4
8 Seaholm MHSAA-1 0.33 .570 .634 25 16 7 5 4
9 Lake Orion MHSAA-1 0.31 .498 .632 20 20 5 5 4
10 Berkley MHSAA-1 0.19 .569 .614 32 16 8 6 3
11 N Farmington MHSAA-1 -0.08 .635 .575 23 5 5 2 5
12 Groves MHSAA-1 -0.52 .536 .511 41 23 7 7 1
13 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-1 -0.88 .354 .461 18 31 3 8 4
14 W Bloomfield MHSAA-1 -0.94 .382 .452 11 19 4 7 0
15 Oxford MHSAA-1 -1.04 .364 .440 18 36 4 7 2
16 Farmington MHSAA-2 -1.15 .624 .424 39 19 6 3 3
17 Royal Oak MHSAA-1 -1.66 .318 .360 23 33 3 11 2
18 Harrison-FH MHSAA-2 -2.29 .249 .290 15 33 2 8 1
19 Southfield A/T MHSAA-1 -2.79 .533 .243 22 25 5 4 0
20 Pontiac MHSAA-2 -2.83 .406 .240 24 29 4 6 0
21 Hazel Park MHSAA-2 -6.08 .288 .069 22 41 2 5 0
22 Oak Park MHSAA-1 -6.67 .161 .047 6 33 1 5 0
23 Ferndale MHSAA-3 -6.70 .107 .046 15 64 1 12 0
LN( 148- 23+1) = 5 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT (APPROX. THEORY)
1 Southfield A/T MHSAA-1 3 Farmington MHSAA-2 2 .366
2 Ferndale MHSAA-3 8 Hazel Park MHSAA-2 2 .378
3 Farmington MHSAA-2 2 Seaholm MHSAA-1 1 .401
4 Harrison-FH MHSAA-2 2 Oxford MHSAA-1 1 .451
5 Pontiac MHSAA-2 6 Southfield A/T MHSAA-1 0 .502
DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER, FACT,
Foundation for the Analysis of Competitions and Tournaments
FACT standings calculated by timStats, LLC
statman14 -at- hotmail.com
This report was created on 11-29-2016 at 00:10:28 local time.
Estimated Std Deviation: 2.100