As of 2015-07-06 20:34:49.
DAVID L WILSON PERFORMANCE RATINGS
*=OAA White Division
#=OAA Blue Division
2=OAA Gold Division
W L T
- - -
1 #Bloomfield Hills 26 8 0 581
Adams 27 12 0 581
3 #Athens-Troy 14 10 0 574
4 Lake Orion 21 15 0 563
5 *W Bloomfield 23 11 0 562
6 #Avondale 20 15 0 556
7 Rochester 23 14 0 549
8 Stoney Creek 18 17 0 543
9 #Troy 16 16 0 533
10 *Farmington 20 14 0 521
11 Clarkston 11 18 0 520
*Harrison-FH 15 19 0 520
*Groves 18 18 0 520
14 *N Farmington 19 16 0 517
15 Oxford 10 20 0 495
16 2Royal Oak 18 8 2 490
2Sfld-Lathrup 19 14 0 490
18 *Seaholm 9 24 0 474
19 #Berkley 6 14 1 469
20 2Southfield 6 19 0 392
21 2Ferndale 7 16 0 384
22 2Hazel Park 10 18 0 360
23 2Oak Park 2 11 0 310
--- teams from other divisions ---
W L T
- - -
Madison Comp OH 1 0 0 681
Wayne-WH OH 1 0 0 681
Hartland 2 0 0 674
Brother Rice 5 0 0 674
Milford OH 1 0 0 663
Northville 4 0 0 662
Howell 2 0 0 661
Sterling Hts-Stev 6 0 0 659
Chippewa Val 2 0 0 656
Richmond 1 0 0 656
Grosse Pt North 3 0 0 646
Armada 1 0 0 633
De LaSalle 1 0 0 633
TC Central 1 0 0 633
Bay City Western 1 0 0 620
Linden 1 0 0 620
Bullock Creek 1 0 0 620
Woodhaven 2 0 0 620
Shrine 3 0 0 620
Allen Park 1 0 0 620
Bp Foley 2 1 0 615
Cousino 3 1 0 604
Det Jesuit 3 0 0 593
Divine Child 2 0 0 590
Edsel Ford 1 0 0 590
Ford-SH 2 1 0 585
Utica 1 1 0 578
St Mary Prep 4 2 0 575
Grosse Pt South 2 0 0 574
St Clair 1 0 0 574
Stevenson-Livonia 5 2 0 572
Midland 1 1 0 563
Parkway Chr 1 1 0 559
Eisenhower 2 3 0 554
Plymouth 2 1 0 553
Dakota 2 2 0 548
Pontiac ND Prep 3 4 0 540
Walled Lk N'ern 4 2 0 536
Salem 3 3 0 526
Lakeland 2 2 0 524
Lakeshore-SCS 1 1 0 517
Romeo 2 4 0 515
Lowell 1 2 0 514
Cranbrook-Kingswd 5 6 0 505
Walled Lk Western 2 6 0 503
Mott-Waterford 4 6 1 499
Lapeer 1 1 0 495
Kettering-Wat 3 6 0 494
Crestwood 1 0 0 492
Romulus Summit 1 0 0 492
Walled Lk Cent 2 8 0 490
Det Cou Day 5 4 0 487
Johnson 1 1 0 487
Canton 1 2 0 486
S Lyon East 0 1 1 486
South Lake 1 0 0 484
Novi 1 4 0 482
Mott-Warren 1 1 0 479
Everest Cath 1 1 0 467
Skyline 1 2 0 466
Clio 0 1 0 463
Franklin 0 1 0 462
Center Line 1 0 0 460
Clawson 2 0 0 460
Jewish Acad Met D 1 0 0 460
Lincoln-Warren 1 0 0 460
Brandon 1 3 0 457
Cabrini 1 1 0 456
Benzie Central 0 1 0 456
Lakeview-SCS 0 1 0 456
Lamphere 0 2 0 456
Union-GR 0 1 0 456
Lutheran NW 0 3 0 451
L'Anse Creuse N 0 4 0 451
Fraser 0 2 0 449
TC West 0 2 0 443
Davison 1 2 0 441
Rockford 0 1 0 433
Airport 0 1 0 421
Alliance OH 0 1 0 421
East Lansing 0 2 0 421
Glenn-Westland 0 1 0 421
Glenn-Bay City 0 1 0 420
Milford 0 2 0 417
South Lyon 0 2 0 417
Det ML King 0 1 0 417
Grass Lake 0 1 0 417
Ida 0 1 0 417
Consortium Prep 1 2 0 396
Goodrich 0 2 0 392
Renaissance 1 5 1 385
Port Huron 0 1 0 374
Port Huron N'ern 0 1 0 374
Pershing 0 1 0 292
Det Ford 0 1 0 284
Roeper 0 2 0 261
Acad Bus and Tech 0 1 0 260
Chandler Park Aca 0 2 0 260
Fitzgerald 0 1 0 260
Hamtramck 0 1 0 260
Osborn 0 1 0 210
Upsets: 108 of 521 ( 20.73%) -- 492 total games.
Rating Adjustment: 36.16121
Report created 07/06/15 at 20:12:10 local time.
( OAA Baseball: Spring 2015 )
BASED ON 216 GAMES BETWEEN 23 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
RANK TEAM DIVISION LOGIT PCT. RRE PF PA W L T
1 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-1 3.46 .745 .793 189 124 18 4 0
2 Adams MHSAA-1 2.49 .660 .724 122 71 15 7 0
3 W Bloomfield MHSAA-1 2.22 .650 .704 157 108 13 7 0
4 Athens-Troy MHSAA-1 2.13 .557 .697 91 82 8 6 0
5 Avondale MHSAA-2 2.07 .578 .692 114 102 11 7 0
6 Lake Orion MHSAA-1 1.59 .559 .653 102 85 11 8 0
7 Groves MHSAA-1 1.44 .583 .641 141 118 14 9 0
8 Rochester MHSAA-1 1.17 .538 .619 127 98 12 11 0
9 Troy MHSAA-1 1.17 .523 .619 110 95 10 10 0
10 N Farmington MHSAA-1 1.12 .556 .615 94 89 11 8 0
11 Stoney Creek MHSAA-1 1.07 .534 .611 88 97 12 9 0
12 Harrison-FH MHSAA-1 0.45 .483 .559 95 98 9 10 0
13 Clarkston MHSAA-1 0.43 .455 .557 79 82 8 11 0
14 Farmington MHSAA-1 0.34 .447 .550 87 91 7 10 0
15 Sfld-Lathrup MHSAA-1 -0.42 .721 .488 211 87 15 6 0
16 Oxford MHSAA-1 -1.00 .275 .443 58 136 5 14 0
17 Royal Oak MHSAA-1 -1.20 .659 .428 146 75 13 6 0
18 Seaholm MHSAA-1 -1.57 .302 .401 87 140 7 19 0
19 Berkley MHSAA-1 -2.19 .268 .359 83 112 3 12 0
20 Southfield MHSAA-1 -7.72 .290 .126 86 131 4 11 0
21 Ferndale MHSAA-2 -8.15 .358 .114 93 146 5 10 0
22 Hazel Park MHSAA-2 -9.66 .259 .078 76 176 4 12 0
23 Oak Park MHSAA-1 -12.32 .122 .029 50 143 1 9 0
LN( 216- 23+1) = 5 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT (APPROX. THEORY)
1 Oxford MHSAA-1 8 Lake Orion MHSAA-1 2 .315
2 Troy MHSAA-1 9 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-1 2 .324
3 Seaholm MHSAA-1 11 Clarkston MHSAA-1 2 .329
4 Berkley MHSAA-1 3 Troy MHSAA-1 1 .380
5 Farmington MHSAA-1 10 W Bloomfield MHSAA-1 4 .383
DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER, FACT,
Foundation for the Analysis of Competitions and Tournaments
FACT standings calculated by timStats, LLC
statman14 -at- hotmail.com
This report was created on 07-06-2015 at 20:21:18 local time.
Estimated Std Deviation: 4.400