As of 2014-07-08 20:43:43.
DAVID L WILSON PERFORMANCE RATINGS
*=OAA White Division
#=OAA Blue Division
2=OAA Gold Division
W L T
- - -
1 Lake Orion 21 14 0 586
2 *N Farmington 25 8 0 581
3 *W Bloomfield 24 10 0 577
4 Clarkston 21 12 1 566
5 Stoney Creek 22 14 0 554
#Athens-Troy 13 6 0 554
7 #Bloomfield Hills 23 7 0 549
8 Rochester 20 15 0 541
9 Adams 14 19 0 535
10 Oxford 13 14 1 526
*Harrison-FH 13 13 0 526
12 *Seaholm 14 18 0 513
13 *Farmington 12 24 0 500
14 #Avondale 15 17 0 494
15 #Berkley 7 9 0 483
16 #Troy 8 15 0 480
17 *Groves 11 20 1 470
18 2Sfld-Lathrup 9 12 1 432
19 #Royal Oak 5 13 0 430
20 2Southfield 6 8 0 399
21 2Ferndale 5 12 1 305
2Hazel Park 4 5 0 305
23 2Oak Park 1 6 0 217
--- teams from other divisions ---
W L T
- - -
Abp Moeller OH 1 0 0 686
Lakeshore-St 1 0 0 686
Milford OH 1 0 0 686
Saline 2 0 0 686
Sterling Hts-Stev 2 0 0 682
Walled Lk Cent 3 0 0 680
Canton 3 0 0 674
Stevenson-Livonia 2 0 0 674
Bp Foley 4 0 0 665
Grosse Pt South 1 0 0 654
L'Anse Creuse 1 0 0 654
De LaSalle 3 0 0 643
Perrysburg OH 3 0 0 635
Port Huron 1 0 0 613
St Clair 1 0 0 613
Walled Lk N'ern 3 1 0 613
Bedford 1 0 0 600
Cabrini 1 0 0 600
St Mary Cath 2 0 0 600
Bay City Western 1 1 0 599
Woods-Tower 2 1 0 598
Salem 3 1 0 597
Lakeview-SCS 2 0 0 594
Airport 2 0 0 591
Pontiac ND Prep 3 1 0 590
Novi 3 2 0 587
Lowell 1 1 0 586
Rockford 1 0 0 580
Brighton 1 1 0 571
Glenn-Bay City 1 0 0 570
Plymouth 2 1 0 569
Grand Blanc 3 1 0 562
St Mary Prep 2 2 0 561
Brother Rice 3 1 0 561
Det Cath Central 1 1 0 553
Kettering-Wat 3 4 1 545
Fraser 1 1 0 541
L'Anse Creuse N 2 2 0 538
Dakota 2 3 0 535
Lakeland 3 5 0 534
Edsel Ford 1 0 0 532
Mt. Morris 1 0 0 532
Taylor Kennedy 2 0 0 532
Northville 1 1 0 518
Anchor Bay 1 1 0 513
Det Cou Day 4 5 0 504
Centreville 1 1 0 500
Brandon 1 4 0 494
Det Jesuit 1 1 0 493
Calvin Chr 0 1 0 486
Dow 0 1 0 486
Walnut Hills OH 0 1 0 486
Mott-Warren 1 1 0 485
Bullock Creek 0 1 0 481
Ford-SH 1 4 0 477
Almont 0 1 1 476
Clio 0 2 0 467
Davison 0 2 0 466
Fenton 0 1 0 466
Flushing 0 1 0 466
Linden 0 1 0 466
Romeo 1 6 0 464
Cranbrook-Kingswd 2 7 0 455
Eisenhower 0 1 0 454
Parkway Chr 0 2 0 442
Franklin 0 2 0 429
Mott-Waterford 0 2 0 427
Lapeer W 0 2 0 427
Port Huron N'ern 0 1 0 413
Bronson 1 0 0 405
Eastside IN 1 0 0 405
Lamphere 1 0 0 405
Woodhaven 0 2 0 403
DeWitt 0 1 0 400
East Lansing 0 1 0 400
Milford 0 1 0 400
Union-Redford 0 1 0 400
Lutheran NW 0 3 0 399
Utica 0 4 0 398
Haslett 0 1 0 394
Cousino 0 1 0 383
TC Central 0 1 0 380
Franklin Road Chr 0 2 0 373
Imlay City 0 1 0 370
Det ML King 1 3 1 336
Consortium Prep 0 5 0 336
Det Edison 1 0 0 317
Roeper 0 1 0 299
Harper Woods 0 1 0 205
Macomb Chr 0 2 0 205
Acad Bus & Tech 0 2 0 121
Upsets: 92 of 442 ( 20.81%) -- 411 total games.
Rating Adjustment: 14.29241
Report created 07/08/14 at 20:15:26 local time.
( OAA Baseball: Spring 2014 )
BASED ON 191 GAMES BETWEEN 23 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
RANK TEAM DIVISION LOGIT PCT. RRE PF PA W L T
1 Lake Orion MHSAA-1 3.54 .773 .865 87 34 13 3 0
2 Stoney Creek MHSAA-1 2.23 .649 .787 150 106 14 7 0
3 N Farmington MHSAA-1 1.81 .759 .757 109 41 15 4 0
4 W Bloomfield MHSAA-1 1.29 .721 .719 116 48 14 5 0
5 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-1 1.24 .731 .715 200 107 18 6 0
6 Athens-Troy MHSAA-1 1.16 .740 .709 98 52 10 3 0
7 Clarkston MHSAA-1 1.04 .483 .700 105 90 8 10 0
8 Adams MHSAA-1 0.88 .462 .688 76 76 8 10 0
9 Rochester MHSAA-1 0.52 .476 .659 105 125 11 11 0
10 Harrison-FH MHSAA-1 -0.18 .538 .603 89 72 9 8 0
11 Oxford MHSAA-1 -0.33 .338 .591 90 135 6 12 0
12 Seaholm MHSAA-1 -0.75 .467 .557 119 134 12 13 0
13 Farmington MHSAA-1 -1.79 .304 .475 53 83 4 11 0
14 Avondale MHSAA-2 -1.84 .424 .472 109 142 9 12 0
15 Berkley MHSAA-1 -2.11 .436 .451 78 97 6 8 0
16 Troy MHSAA-1 -2.26 .370 .440 94 103 6 12 0
17 Groves MHSAA-1 -2.96 .329 .392 93 163 7 16 1
18 Royal Oak MHSAA-1 -4.25 .263 .313 70 110 3 11 0
19 Sfld-Lathrup MHSAA-1 -5.41 .523 .255 139 121 8 7 1
20 Southfield MHSAA-1 -6.82 .484 .200 42 47 4 4 0
21 Ferndale MHSAA-2 -12.60 .365 .087 82 113 4 8 0
22 Hazel Park MHSAA-2 -14.64 .177 .061 26 66 1 4 0
23 Oak Park MHSAA-1 -23.77 .003 .001 4 69 0 5 0
LN( 191- 23+1) = 5 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT (APPROX. THEORY)
1 Royal Oak MHSAA-1 10 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-1 7 .138
2 Seaholm MHSAA-1 9 Stoney Creek MHSAA-1 5 .292
3 Oxford MHSAA-1 4 Lake Orion MHSAA-1 3 .340
4 Groves MHSAA-1 4 Harrison-FH MHSAA-1 1 .349
5 Avondale MHSAA-2 5 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-1 3 .366
DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER, FACT,
Foundation for the Analysis of Competitions and Tournaments
FACT standings calculated by timStats, LLC
statman14 -at- hotmail.com
This report was created on 07-08-2014 at 20:11:42 local time.
Estimated Std Deviation: 4.000